So the motto goes, “there’s always next year,” it’s seemingly always muttered from the mouths of drunk and desperate fanguys every year when their team officially goes down. It’s one of the most annoying phrases that could ever be said, yet it’s always said. As if the world is on its way to an abrupt end, and sports is the only criteria for the world to remain intact. The world can’t end, because “there’s always next year” for my beloved ___________ <—insert here, team.
Speaking of next year, not that I’m trying to rush through the Super Bowl, but I’m already thinking about next year. What could possibly happen next year? Let’s get after 20 possibilities that aren’t necessarily predictions, but loose ideas, thoughts, hopes and dreams for your team and the NFL in 2012.
20.) There will be at least two surprising teams, one from each conference. This year it was the 49ers, Broncos and Bengals. I had both San Francisco and Cincy winning a combined 8 games. And little did I know as the Niners were a Kyle Williams goof away from Super Bowl XLVI and Andy Dalton was better than advertised in his rookie season leading the Natti to a 9-7 Wildcard team. Next year, who could it be? Carolina? Miami? St. Louis? Oakland?
19.) Will Atlanta finally live up to their “potential” and win a playoff game or are the Falcons just consumed by false hopes and hype? Sooner or later, a teams’ time always comes to an end. Atlanta is dangerously flirting with irrelevance if they can’t break through. New Orleans isn’t going anywhere. And Carolina is only going to get better.
18.) The Philadelphia Eagles will be the team in 2012, they were supposed to be 2011. The Eagles kind of proved they have a wealth of talent after they finished strong at 8-8 after a miserable all-around season. If Mike Vick stays healthy, the Eagles are going deep.
17.) Peyton Manning will be somewhere other than Indianapolis. The question is where? Miami has expressed interest with the arrival of new head coach Joe Philbin, former Packers OC. You know the Redskins will think about Manning contingent on if they want “veteran leadership” or if they want to start fresh and draft a quarterback (Trade up for RG3 in the draft). It could be the Jets, and Arizona has also been rumored to be interested.
16.) Can the Lions have staying power, or was 2011 a one-year thing. Matt Stafford put up 5,000 yards and the Lions offense flourished, with Jahvid Best going down mid-season. And how many fines will Ndamukong Suh collect in 2012?
15.) Mike Shanahan will be fired if the Redskins don’t make the playoffs in 2012. Washington is extremely talented defensively, but they desperately need a quarterback. The best of Grossman AND Beck combined together, is still one of the worst QB’s in the league. They can’t and aren’t going to get the job done.
14.) There is no reason the San Diego Chargers shouldn’t win the AFC West. Norv Turner was awarded one more as head coach, and if not successful, he’s certain to be fired. Phillip Rivers had a down season. He missed Darren Sproles, who they should’ve never let go, and the offensive game-plans suffered setbacks throughout. Hey Norv, the homerun shot deep ball doesn’t always work.
13.) Mark Sanchez and Rex Ryan are on short leashes. The Jets franchise as a whole, is another 8-8 season away from cleaning house. Rex Ryan has to learn to shut-up. The guarantees don’t always work, especially if the guarantees are always exactly the same. It’s not sending your team a message. In fact, it’s really only bringing them down. Think of the pressure you’re contributing. And Sanchez has to wake up, or he’s finished. Which, he might already be, depending on where Peyton Manning travels.
12.) How will Jeff Fisher affect the St. Louis Rams as their new head coach? Fisher was the hottest coach on the market, and for what reasons? In his tenure at Tennessee, Fisher had 6-winning seasons and 6-losing seasons, but he was a foot from winning the Super Bowl via Kevin Dyson’s reach.
11.) How many, if any, quarterbacks will throw over 5,000 yards? This year it was Stafford, Brees and Brady – with the latter two breaking Marino’s 26-year old single-season passing record. In a quarterback/receiver driven league, we could be seeing just the beginning of 5,000 yards as the new 4,000 yards.
10.) The Houston Texans finally broke through for their first franchise playoff appearance and win under rookie QB T.J. Yates. How far could they have went if Matt Schaub never got hurt? What’s the pinnacle for the Texans? How much better can they get? In my opinion, they aren’t going anywhere for a long, long time.
9.) The Buffalo Bills started off hot and then turned into ‘not.’ Nobody circles the wagons better than the Bills, and nobody ever will. Only the Bills could start off 5-2 and finish with a record of 6-10. Not even Minnesota, St. Louis or Indianapolis would’ve done that if they started 5-2, and they were all 2-14. Buffalo just doesn’t like winning. Once they start winning, they’re incapable of keeping the momentum. It’s like they’re scared of success. But that’s all part of the culture of being lousy.
8.) Will anyone challenge San Francisco from the NFC West? If Arizona can improve on the road, they have a chance. In 2011 the Cards went 6-2 at home and 2-6 on the road. I don’t know if they’re anywhere close to the defense the 49ers have, but they have some talent on the other side of the ball. Kevin Kolb has to stay healthy and improve. 3-6 as a starter is not what the Cardinals handsomely paid him for.
7.) As long as Jerry Jones is alive and kicking, and GM of the Cowboys, Dallas is never going to win anything. Which will be the story for 2012. The term ‘there’s always next year’ doesn’t apply to Dallas. Because ‘next year’ simply means another year just like the one before. However, no one can smack talk Tony Romo. He sacked up through bruised ribs and a punctured lung with an immature Dez Bryant and injury hampered Miles Austin, to have his personal best season and solidify himself as a top 8 QB in the league.
6.) The Baltimore Ravens are closing in on losing their chance. If they were ever going to compete for a Super Bowl, it was this year, not 2012. The defense is getting older. Ray Lewis will be in his 17th year if he doesn’t retire. And Baltimore is eventually going to be forced to make a business decision about Lewis because he’s ultimately taking up a roster spot and you have to think his production will decline.
5.) How will Green Bay bounce back? I thought the Packers were flawed going into the 2011 playoffs and I’m proud to say I was right. They’re a finesse team that pretends to be hard because they’re in cold ass Green Bay. The gift is also their curse because the success in the great offense becomes limited against a tough defense and brutal weather conditions. Green Bay must get better defensively and find a viable running-back, or just do what they did in 2010 and excel through the playoffs as an underdog.
4.) Tim Tebow? It’s still a question that remains to be answered. He will start in 2012, but he has to improve with basic quarterback skills. 2011 was fun, exciting and amazing, but wins from one year don’t factor into the next.
3.) The Chicago Bears will be very dangerous. If Cutler stays healthy, and they franchise-tag/commit to Matt Forte like they should – watch out for this Chicago team. Jay Cutler is close to being one of the league’s “elite” quarterbacks. Before he went down the Bears were 7-3 and I think they would’ve made a run and ousted Detroit for a postseason berth. Do the right thing Chicago and sign Forte long-term.
2.) You might want to go ahead and start saying there’s always next year, already – Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Indianapolis, Seattle, St. Louis, Minnesota, Washington, NY Jets, Denver, Oakland, Buffalo and Jacksonville – I don’t see any of these teams going anywhere. Why? They don’t have security at the quarterback position. I’m not ready to anoint Andrew Luck taking the Colts to the playoffs because the entire team is bad. If Peyton was healthy this year, the Colts still wouldn’t have won 8 games. Not to forget, the Colts will have a new coach in place with a new GM.
1.) Who is the favorite in 2012? How about everyone except the teams I listed in the above paragraph? Out of the 32 teams, I can see 20 teams fighting for 12 playoff positions. I can see Green Bay, New Orleans, New England, Pittsburgh, Baltimore and NY Giants maintaining competitive teams. I don’t see San Francisco or Houston going anywhere. I like Philadelphia, Miami, Dallas, Atlanta, Cincinnati, San Diego, Chicago, Detroit and Tennessee all in the Wildcard hunt. Arizona, Carolina and Kansas City could also be surprisingly dangerous. The great thing is, the NFL is impossible to predict. But one thing is for sure, one one team will ever win, and everyone else will be stuck saying, “There’s always next year.”